Samenvatting
Lead Portfolio Manager Sebastian Thomas and Senior Research Analyst Stephen Jue, two of the team behind Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence, explain their active management approach to Artificial Intelligence (AI).
“We want to enable clients to tap into the largest driver of innovation and disruption over the next decade”
Why did you launch the fund?
Sebastian Thomas:
We launched the fund because AI is set to have a huge economic
impact and we want to enable clients to tap into the largest driver of
innovation and disruption over the next decade1. Consultants PwC
predict that AI will drive global GDP gains of USD 15.7 trillion by 2030,
making it the biggest commercial opportunity in today’s economy.
More companies are exploring how they can use AI to improve their
products and consumer experiences, enhance efficiency and drive
competitive advantage.
Why is active management key to seizing the opportunities here?
Sebastian Thomas:
While many CEOs are bullish about the potential for AI to transform
their competitive prospects, there will be winners and losers. That’s
inevitable given the level of disruption likely caused by AI. Some firms
will fail in the execution of the underlying technology, others will
struggle with cultural challenges related to AI adoption or
wider market dynamics. Stock picking and active management will be
critical for identifying companies that will prosper.
Can you tell us more about the fund’s history and client base?
Stephen Jue:
We introduced the first Global Artificial Intelligence Fund in Japan with
our partners Sumitomo Mitsui in September 2016 and raised USD 873
million in two weeks. It was the biggest new fund launch in 2016, and
assets under management now stand at more than USD 4 billion (as of
31.01.2018). In March 2017, we launched a Luxembourg-based UCITS
vehicle for Europe and Asia ex-Japan, and recently added leading
distribution partners in Singapore, Hong Kong, and China. With
primary distribution through retail and private banks, our client base is
mostly individual investors who seek secular growth over the long
term1.
What exactly does the fund invest in?
Stephen Jue:
We invest in companies that stand to benefit from the deployment of AI
infrastructure, the development of AI applications, and the adoption of AI to transform their industries. At this early stage in the development
of AI, about 40 per cent of holdings are related to AI infrastructure,
which includes companies in the semiconductor, electronic
components, and software sectors helping to build out the AI
ecosystem.
What makes this fund different?
Sebastian Thomas:
One of the things that differentiates the fund from, say, a typical tech
fund is that it invests in companies across all sectors that are
benefiting from the rapid developments in AI – not just the technology
sector. For that reason, the fund is not managed to an index. We use
the MSCI World Information Technology Index as a reference
benchmark. However, as AI is gradually adopted by more companies
outside of the technology sector, the MSCI World Index might be more
appropriate longer term.
What’s the fund’s geographic exposure?
Stephen Jue:
Although US-headquartered companies constitute the majority of
holdings, we expect greater global diversification over time as more AI
developments emerge out of research labs, and as AI-related start-ups
seek listings. As noted at our recent Investment Forum in Hong Kong,
China is investing heavily in AI-related technologies, setting up a
potential AI “arms race” with the US.
Can you tell us about some of the companies that the fund holds?
Stephen Jue:
Many companies are now leveraging the latest AI technologies to drive
new innovations. For example, Square2 is unique in the FinTech space
and leverages AI to help onboard and score transaction risks in
segments of the market that other processors have been unable to do
economically. One of the most exciting longer-term applications of AI
will be in health care. Athenahealth2 provides software for managing
medical records and patient engagement, and is applying machine
learning to optimize the patient scheduling process and help doctors
better leverage patient data.
Finally, a question you must get a lot: Do you have any plans to incorporate AI into the investment process?
Sebastian Thomas:
AI can’t replace expert analysts and portfolio managers who are able
to meet with management teams, attend industry conferences,
analyze technological developments and assess how long-term value
may accrue. The other big challenge is that AI-driven investing
approaches perform especially poorly during periods of rapid
technological innovation and industry-level disruption, when past
performance is a poor indicator of future outcomes. That said, we’re
always watching for any tools that can improve the repeatability of
positive outcomes for clients.
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1 Source: A performance of the strategy is not guaranteed and losses remain possible.
2 This is no recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any particular security.
Investing involves risk. The value of an investment and the income from it may fall as well as rise and investors might not get back the full amount invested. Allianz Global Artificial
Intelligence is a sub-fund of Allianz Global Investors Fund SICAV, an open-ended investment company with variable share capital organised under the laws of Luxembourg. The value of
the units/shares which belong to the Unit/Share Classes of the Sub-Fund that are not denominated in the base currency may be subject to a strongly increased volatility. The volatility of
other Unit/Share Classes may be different. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. If the currency in which the past performance is displayed differs from the
currency of the country in which the investor resides, then the investor should be aware that due to the exchange rate fluctuations the performance shown may be higher or lower if
converted into the investor’s local currency. This is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation or an invitation to make an offer, to conclude a contract, or to buy or sell
any securities. The products or securities described herein may not be available for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This is for distribution only as permitted by
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